Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000693 0.000793 0.000899 0.001020 0.001153 0.001295 0.001458
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000538 0.000677 0.000835 0.001027 0.001253 0.001507 0.001813
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000438 0.000590 0.000772 0.001002 0.001283 0.001611 0.002020
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000361 0.000517 0.000713 0.000972 0.001298 0.001691 0.002196
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000312 0.000474 0.000683 0.000969 0.001341 0.001801 0.002404
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000274 0.000437 0.000658 0.000968 0.001382 0.001906 0.002607
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000238 0.000400 0.000627 0.000956 0.001406 0.001988 0.002780
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000206 0.000365 0.000595 0.000937 0.001418 0.002051 0.002929
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000189 0.000351 0.000591 0.000958 0.001483 0.002185 0.003172
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000174 0.000336 0.000586 0.000974 0.001541 0.002310 0.003406
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000153 0.000310 0.000559 0.000958 0.001551 0.002370 0.003551
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000133 0.000284 0.000532 0.000937 0.001553 0.002417 0.003679
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000269 0.000520 0.000941 0.001591 0.002516 0.003884
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000257 0.000513 0.000951 0.001639 0.002631 0.004114
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000095 0.000234 0.000485 0.000926 0.001632 0.002665 0.004229
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000213 0.000457 0.000898 0.001618 0.002688 0.004328
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000200 0.000445 0.000896 0.001643 0.002769 0.004511
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000189 0.000434 0.000894 0.001671 0.002852 0.004699
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000176 0.000418 0.000883 0.001680 0.002909 0.004849
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000162 0.000399 0.000866 0.001678 0.002948 0.004971
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000159 0.000401 0.000885 0.001739 0.003083 0.005240
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000155 0.000401 0.000900 0.001792 0.003208 0.005496
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000144 0.000385 0.000885 0.001792 0.003250 0.005626